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St. Paul, Minnesota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Saint Paul MN
National Weather Service Forecast for: Saint Paul MN
Issued by: National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen, MN
Updated: 1:47 pm CDT Jul 6, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 84. North wind around 5 mph.
Sunny

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Mostly Clear

Monday

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Mostly Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 4am, then showers likely after 4am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Tuesday

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Mostly Clear

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 67. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Mostly Clear

Thursday

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
Hi 84 °F Lo 63 °F Hi 84 °F Lo 66 °F Hi 83 °F Lo 63 °F Hi 85 °F Lo 67 °F Hi 86 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
Sunny, with a high near 84. North wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 4am, then showers likely after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
 
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 67. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers. Sunny, with a high near 79. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Saint Paul MN.

Weather Forecast Discussion
718
FXUS63 KMPX 061929
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
229 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Quiet and pleasant today, with our next chance for storms late
  Monday into Tuesday.

- Best chance for more widespread showers and storms returns on
  Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

A textbook Summer day is underway across the region. Temperatures
have warmed into the upper 70s to lower 80s with dew points in the
upper 50s to lower 60s across south & central Minnesota. Dew points
remain in the upper 60s & lower 70s across western Wisconsin but
drier air will work it`s way in over the next 12 hours. Skies remain
mostly clear with a few fair weather CU across SE MN & W WI. Overall
- it`s a great day to get outside if possible. Temperatures will
cool into the lower 60s overnight & mid to high level cloud cover
will build in from the west.

Monday & Tuesday... Rain & storm chances return to start the new
work week. A shortwave currently over Alberta will track eastward
along the international border through Monday night. This shortwave
will tap into the instability built in across the Dakotas &
thunderstorms develop ahead of the sfc cold front. These storms will
track, reaching western MN early Monday evening. If we look at the
latest forecast soundings across several different models, we`ll
notice that the advertised environment isn`t great - but enough to
sustain thunderstorms for a few hours. Moisture will pool ahead of
the sfc boundary and support MUCAPE values of 1000 to 1500 J/Kg with
30+ knots of deep layer shear. Instability will gradually diminish
through the evening before dropping off over E MN & W WI. This
should cause storms to weaken Monday night as the convection
continues to track east. A few strong to severe storms will be
possible Monday afternoon/evening across western Minnesota. The
primary concern will be large hail & damaging winds. Severe chances
decrease as they move into a less favorable environment mentioned
above. Tuesday will have some lingering showers across the eastern
half of the forecast area (E MN/W WI) with a few additional pop up
showers or storms possible Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday through next Sunday... A brief break between weather
systems should offer another pleasant Summer day on Wednesday with
temperatures warming into the mid 80s. Thursday will mark the return
of deeper low level moisture ahead of an impressive shortwave trough
over the northern & central Rockies. While there is still
uncertainty with the timing & placement of the features - there is a
pretty good signal for another round of thunderstorms & rain
Thursday & Friday time frame. This system will usher in cooler/drier
northwest flow for next weekend & offer another brief break from
rain & humidity.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Passing mid/high level clouds and light north winds turn
variable overnight. There is a signal that patchy BR could form
given light winds & Td depressions of a few degrees at our C MN
& W WI sites. Any BR that forms should quickly burn off by mid-
morning. Winds turn southeasterly and eventually southerly by
end of the period.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR, slight chc -SHRA/-TSRA. Wind WNW 5 kts.
WED...VFR. Wind light/variable.
THU...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BPH
AVIATION...BPH
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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